Terrorist Attacks and Political and Social Attitudes in Europe
T. Muller · DePaul University · 2026
RSTATA
THEOPHILE MULLER
Theophile
Muller
M.S. Candidate, Economic Quantitative Analytics — DePaul University
I use econometrics and financial analysis to understand how shocks move markets, policy, and public opinion.
02CV
Curriculum Vitae
DOWNLOAD CV →Education
DePaul UniversityM.S. Economic Quantitative Analytics GPA 4.0
2025 — 2027
B.S. Economic Data Analytics
2022 — 2026
Experience
Kehoe DesignAccounting & Data Analytics
2024 — 2026
Economic Graduate Assistant
2026 — 2027
Skills
Stata
Excel
Power BI
R
Python
SQL
C#
CSS
HTML
SAS
Java
JavaScript
Power Automate
Power Apps
03RESEARCH
Research Papers
A difference-in-differences study of how the 2015–2016 terrorist attacks in France affected political and social attitudes.
PROBLEM
Did the attacks causally change French public opinion?
DATA
11 ESS rounds, 2002–2022 · ~322K observations · France + 13 control countries · World Bank GDP per capita, population, unemployment, and net migration · Global Terrorism Database fatalities.
METHOD
Difference-in-differences, event study, controls, and robustness checks.
TOOLS
R · Stata
RESULT
No significant immigration shift; France moved +0.256 rightward on the ideology scale.
WHAT I LEARNED
Political shocks can affect values and ideology differently, and identification assumptions matter as much as coefficient size.
Can Machine Learning Predict Rivian Returns?
T. Muller · DePaul University · Spring 2026
R
A forecasting comparison testing whether machine learning can outperform classical time-series models on daily Rivian returns.
PROBLEM
Can engineered macro and volatility features predict RIVN returns better than classical benchmarks?
DATA
613 daily observations, Jan. 2024–Jun. 2026 · 126-day out-of-sample test set.
METHOD
ARIMA · ARIMAX · GARCH family · Random Forest.
TOOLS
R
RESULT
Random Forest: best RMSE (.0305) and 64.3% directional accuracy.
WHAT I LEARNED
Nonlinear combinations of market, volatility, and momentum features carried more signal than own-return time-series structure alone.
04PROJECTS
Things I’ve Built
01
02
Carte Blanche Geo
A browser-based geography game with multiple learning modes, daily challenges, streaks, leaderboards, and persistent player progress.
JAVASCRIPTHTMLCSSSQL
EXPLORE PROJECT →
02
France Histoire
An interactive exploration of French history with chronological navigation, historical maps, and connected events through time.
JAVASCRIPTHTMLCSS
EXPLORE PROJECT →
05CONTACT
Let’s Connect
I’m always open to discussing research, analytics, projects, and interesting opportunities.
